A weakening cold front or trough should cross Victoria overnight/early morning, while moisture surges across the interior of the country and drops rain over NSW. A strong cold front crosses Victoria early Sunday, with another one due in the middle of next week.
Alpine areas:
Showers or rain at times under grey and sometimes foggy cloud today. It is too warm for snow. Winds stay north to northwesterly until about 8am Saturday. Then the snow line drops to about 1500 metres for the rest of the day. Precipitation is limited though with just isolated showers/snow.
The strong cold front should sweep through early Sunday. Snow falls to about 1500 metres for the initial heavier precipitation band, then throughout the alpine, with temperatures possibly as low as -5C at times on Sunday. Snow is likely to continue until Monday afternoon, when it breaks to snow showers and the snow level rises to about 1300 metres. It will be windy.
The next front has lost some of its cold air goodness and northerly trajectory on the EC weather model this morning, but the US still likes it a lot. Hopefully this swings back to being a good, strong, moisture laden system – it has in the model runs tonight .
The alpine areas are looking at another 10mm+ of rain, before at least 20 to 30 cm of snow with the first strong front and then 20 to 30 cm with the second (as of 00Z model runs).
The rest of Victoria:
Today:
We have patchy rain, with embedded showers across most areas, but dry in Gippsland east of about Traralgon. It is warm, with humid northerlies gradually strengthening. Some areas may get to 20 degrees. The southwest will see the most from this weakening front or trough, mainly this afternoon, before it gets unorganised as it crosses the rest of the state overnight.
Tomorrow:
A bit of a break. Perhaps some sunny spots in the north and not as cloudy in the south. Isolated showers over the northeast but just the chance elsewhere.
The strong cold front:
The front is expected in the southwest on Saturday night, and should have pushed right through to the east by mid Sunday morning.
Ahead of and with the front (so starting in the southwest later on Saturday afternoon) it is windy as a band of showers or rain pushes through with the front.
The temperature then rapidly drops and its followed by gusty showers with local thunder and small pellets of icy hail. Snow may go as low as 700 metres. This is the sort of weather you get on the coldest of winter days.
The activity clears quickly from the northwest, and should be southeast of Hamilton to Bendigo to Yarrawonga by Monday. It slowly improves in these areas during the day.
Weakening cold front before the main event blasts through early Sunday
Friday July 30: 10:30am (Updated 7pm)
A weakening cold front or trough should cross Victoria overnight/early morning, while moisture surges across the interior of the country and drops rain over NSW. A strong cold front crosses Victoria early Sunday, with another one due in the middle of next week.
Alpine areas:
Showers or rain at times under grey and sometimes foggy cloud today. It is too warm for snow. Winds stay north to northwesterly until about 8am Saturday. Then the snow line drops to about 1500 metres for the rest of the day. Precipitation is limited though with just isolated showers/snow.
The strong cold front should sweep through early Sunday. Snow falls to about 1500 metres for the initial heavier precipitation band, then throughout the alpine, with temperatures possibly as low as -5C at times on Sunday. Snow is likely to continue until Monday afternoon, when it breaks to snow showers and the snow level rises to about 1300 metres. It will be windy.
The next front has lost some of its cold air goodness and northerly trajectory on the EC weather model this morning, but the US still likes it a lot. Hopefully this swings back to being a good, strong, moisture laden system – it has in the model runs tonight
.
The alpine areas are looking at another 10mm+ of rain, before at least 20 to 30 cm of snow with the first strong front and then 20 to 30 cm with the second (as of 00Z model runs).
The rest of Victoria:
Today:
We have patchy rain, with embedded showers across most areas, but dry in Gippsland east of about Traralgon. It is warm, with humid northerlies gradually strengthening. Some areas may get to 20 degrees. The southwest will see the most from this weakening front or trough, mainly this afternoon, before it gets unorganised as it crosses the rest of the state overnight.
Tomorrow:
A bit of a break. Perhaps some sunny spots in the north and not as cloudy in the south. Isolated showers over the northeast but just the chance elsewhere.
The strong cold front:
The front is expected in the southwest on Saturday night, and should have pushed right through to the east by mid Sunday morning.
Ahead of and with the front (so starting in the southwest later on Saturday afternoon) it is windy as a band of showers or rain pushes through with the front.
The temperature then rapidly drops and its followed by gusty showers with local thunder and small pellets of icy hail. Snow may go as low as 700 metres. This is the sort of weather you get on the coldest of winter days.
The activity clears quickly from the northwest, and should be southeast of Hamilton to Bendigo to Yarrawonga by Monday. It slowly improves in these areas during the day.